Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 94692.687228 99844.435800 104993.380726 110522.208524 116287.406851 122118.306555 128457.885240
2025-11-02 86153.039386 94015.932746 102091.399661 110994.627976 120524.408052 130408.278496 141423.650392
2025-11-09 79780.512990 89461.080951 99618.554663 111049.767242 123534.435504 136733.827095 151721.965298
2025-11-16 75659.882077 86781.216178 98659.212995 112254.292582 127347.930340 143555.036710 162236.682565
2025-11-23 71504.477821 83682.368986 96894.844700 112243.687780 129530.597570 148344.387856 170313.312771
2025-11-30 68951.278416 82143.233491 96655.507676 113735.101500 133212.963576 154659.659353 179983.703864
2025-12-07 66443.841877 80472.692912 96104.366843 114722.656680 136198.923170 160097.874823 188603.587832
2025-12-14 63637.461944 78295.305200 94827.649335 114742.520591 137962.278228 164058.958553 195480.082413
2025-12-21 61277.039454 76512.620767 93893.347104 115051.836717 139968.357460 168229.649761 202552.515652
2025-12-28 59883.659842 75790.565730 94126.790461 116663.192075 143442.536537 174068.514728 211553.255338
2026-01-04 58377.414392 74854.633536 94039.342221 117836.004739 146357.177014 179232.357975 219767.400850
2026-01-11 56756.990065 73706.439715 93633.576404 118571.364479 148708.755853 183709.565536 227170.422883
2026-01-18 54927.302681 72252.280575 92821.571571 118793.543588 150442.132706 187475.381498 233783.165817
2026-01-25 53343.292922 71044.617621 92260.223596 119278.559451 152464.387449 191575.674185 240808.513419
2026-02-01 51643.838251 69630.160922 91389.184571 119333.638711 153924.577947 194977.939740 246991.204287
2026-02-08 50646.545732 69061.547762 91530.803568 120610.523330 156862.766471 200162.395488 255344.892149
2026-02-15 49094.852615 67731.485455 90672.757203 120599.122995 158178.417474 203355.378129 261275.697598
2026-02-22 48373.078364 67440.658348 91099.290594 122180.787278 161464.110862 208963.247330 270184.898294
2026-03-01 47449.743179 66853.491561 91120.893375 123227.996888 164069.465476 213736.176587 278088.464939
2026-03-08 46116.693389 65686.620768 90362.967058 123249.058408 165358.348426 216867.602832 283965.603908
2026-03-15 44982.566121 64747.474655 89866.718502 123577.040852 167014.949053 220447.016228 290405.326256
2026-03-22 44493.371928 64649.781701 90447.960585 125285.489167 170428.890456 226235.122993 299632.770037
2026-03-29 43833.847778 64299.814129 90680.916636 126528.814542 173243.632702 231279.454221 307954.066984